Indian Banks’ earnings growth forecast halved amid economic caution and high deposit costs

June 20, 2025

Indian banks are facing a significant slowdown in earnings growth, potentially halving to 6.5% in FY26 due to a cautious economy and reduced core profits. Muted credit demand, high deposit costs, and RBI’s measures to control unsecured lending contribute to this deceleration. However, a rebound to 16.1% is expected in FY27 with anticipated rate cuts and improved demand.

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