Nifty gives zero returns in a year: 3 tests reveal whether to be greedy or fearful this Diwali

With Nifty trading near year-ago levels, Samvat 2081 has seen a time correction rather than a price correction, amid slowing earnings, valuation concerns, Trump tariff overhangs, and FII outflows. Analysts say valuations are in neutral territory, limiting re-rating potential but providing a stable base. Earnings revival from H2FY26 and a possible US–India trade deal could support a medium-term recovery despite short-term caution.

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