A falling rupee may get some lift from a trade deal with US

July 25, 2025

The rupee has weakened against the dollar recently due to tariff uncertainties, foreign portfolio investor outflows, and central bank dollar purchases. The upcoming trade deal with the US and India’s involvement in BRICS, along with oil imports from Russia, add complexity. Concerns about US fiscal sustainability are favoring developed markets over emerging ones, impacting the rupee.

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