Geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan are simmering. Swaminathan Aiyar suggests a possible military response if India acts. He highlights Modi’s past actions and Pakistan’s likely retaliation. De-escalation is crucial to avoid market impact. The Indus Waters Treaty could be an alternative to conflict. Trump administration’s openness to China tariffs is also noted, but negotiations are not yet underway.
Market’s next big cue may come from earnings and rural revival: Shiv Puri
Shiv Puri from TVF Capital Advisors suggests a positive outlook for consumption due to changing unsecured personal lending. He highlights opportunities in underpenetrated sectors like