Mutual funds have broadly stepped up their bets in longer-duration government bonds in 2024 as the likelihood of interest rates being lowered – even if with a slight delay – brings the prospect of reaping capital gains on sovereign debt. An analysis of public factsheets released by five large mutual funds shows a significant increase in modified duration and average maturity of gilt funds, indicating confidence that interest rates, and consequently bond yields are heading lower in coming months.
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There could be other reasons due to the middle east war escalation with potential to cause spike in crude oil prices and also potentially creating