Inflation risk more persistent than growth shock, says Tanvee Gupta Jain amid oil price surge

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Geopolitical tensions in West Asia are impacting India’s economy, leading UBS Securities to lower its GDP growth forecast to 6.2% and revise inflation estimates upward. Supply-side disruptions are evident, while demand resilience may face challenges if energy pressures persist. Inflation concerns are expected to linger longer than growth impacts.

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