Volatile nature of food prices pose challenges to inflation forecasting, says RBI’s Poonam Gupta

November 27, 2025

Reserve Bank of India deputy governor Poonam Gupta stated that food’s significant weight and price swings in India’s Consumer Price Index complicate inflation forecasting. This is crucial for monetary policy decisions. The RBI uses various models and indicators to predict inflation and growth. Forecasts for 2025-26 show inflation at 2.6%. Data updates are vital for a dynamic economy.

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