The irony of predicting markets: Nithin Kamath flags an expensive mistake traders can’t do without

November 24, 2025

Zerodha co-founder Nithin Kamath highlights that traders often overestimate their ability to predict markets, emphasising the gap between knowledge and action. Drawing from a podcast discussion with veteran US derivatives trader Tom Sosnoff, he notes that experience does not guarantee forecasting ability, and trading based on conviction rather than probability can lead to losses.Zerodha co-founder Nithin Kamath highlights that traders often overestimate their ability to predict markets, emphasising the gap between knowledge and action. Drawing from a podcast discussion with veteran US derivatives trader Tom Sosnoff, he notes that experience does not guarantee forecasting ability, and trading based on conviction rather than probability can lead to losses

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