A potential GST cut could inject $13 billion into consumption, but Bernstein’s Venugopal Garre cautions it may hinder government capital expenditure, particularly in transportation. While consumer demand might see a temporary surge, private sector investment is unlikely to follow suit, keeping Nifty earnings growth moderate.
Patchy rains may hit rural lending, banks stay cautious
Bankers are closely watching monsoon rains and their impact on rural credit. Uneven rainfall poses inflation risks for summer crops and rural incomes. A strong