The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) stress test shows that banking asset quality could worsen to 5.6% in case a sharp slowdown in key global economies spills over through trade and financial channels. The tests show that the aggregate capital adequacy ratio of 46 major banks may dip to 14.2% in case of heightened geopolitical risks from 17.2% in March 2025, but none of the banks will fall short of the 9% regulatory minimum requirement under adverse scenarios.
Will RBI announce steep rate hikes? Nomura sees up to 50 bps increase by Dec, dismisses 125 bps hike fears
Nomura expects the RBI to pursue a limited tightening cycle, with a possible 50 bps rate hike by December, as food and energy pressures rise
September 28, 2026