Some expect a slightly deeper cycle, with expectations of a terminal rate at 5% by December 2025 as the Reserve Bank of India surprised the market with a change in its stance to ‘accommodative’ from ‘neutral’, along with a downgrade in growth forecasts, “decisive improvement” in the inflation outlook and commitment to surplus liquidity.
US inflation tops 4% for first time in three years, keeping Fed hike in play
US inflation climbed to 4.1% in May, driven by rising energy prices, keeping the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike plans on the table for September.
June 25, 2026