Repo rate could be headed to 5.25-5.5% amid growth fears, global uncertainties

Some expect a slightly deeper cycle, with expectations of a terminal rate at 5% by December 2025 as the Reserve Bank of India surprised the market with a change in its stance to ‘accommodative’ from ‘neutral’, along with a downgrade in growth forecasts, “decisive improvement” in the inflation outlook and commitment to surplus liquidity.

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