Morgan Stanley’s Upasana Chachra anticipates a likely 25 bps rate cut by the RBI, followed by another in June, contingent on growth trajectory. Escalating global risks, particularly US tariffs, pose downside risks to India’s GDP, potentially impacting business confidence and investment. While direct trade exposure appears limited, indirect effects via global slowdown are concerning.
Gold rises but investors stay cautious about ‘hawkish’ Fed tone
Gold prices saw a slight uptick on Tuesday, despite a minor dip in expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts. Investors are cautiously awaiting the Federal