Tighter fiscal policy in works with capex outlay at 3% of GDP

The government plans to enhance financial discipline and align budget allocations to reduce the debt ratio by seven percentage points by FY31. The finance ministry aims to maintain core capex outlay at a minimum of 3% of GDP, adjusting based on private investments, while closely monitoring fund utilization and absorptive capacity of ministries.

Declining crude prices adds elbow room for rate cuts amidst weakening rupee

India’s central bank may have room for monetary easing due to falling global crude prices offsetting risks from a weaker rupee. Despite concerns over imported inflation affecting the consumer price index, easing energy prices could help lower import costs, thereby supporting further rate reductions.

Indian markets to face cyclical consolidation, limited upside: Dhiraj Agarwal

Dhiraj Agarwal, MD of Ambit Investment Managers, notes potential for a near-term market bounce after months of decline, but warns of long-term challenges and moderate earnings growth. He emphasizes the importance of selective stock picking focused on valuations rather than sector or thematic strategies, highlighting recent disparities within banking and IT sectors.

Global policy uncertainty may lead to further market volatility: Pankaj Pandey

Pankaj Pandey, Head of Research, suggests holding some cash as global uncertainties may cause market corrections. He sees opportunities in the banking sector, with positive views on Axis Bank, Kotak, HDFC Bank, and NBFCs like Bajaj Finance. Capital goods stocks like ABB also look attractive after significant corrections.