Government spending should pick up compared to first half, particularly on the capital expenditure side, and better crop prospects that also does bode well for agriculture production and rural demand, but in the overall scheme of things we do think that India is dealing with tight monetary policy, tight credit policy, tight credit conditions, and now tight liquidity conditions and you have the external environment looking a lot more hostile. So, we see downside risk to our forecast of 6.7%.
Commodity Talk: MOFSL expert explains why gold’s supply tightness in UK may not impact Indian yellow metal prices materially
So, before we get into the assessment, I would just like to highlight what really happened. So, there was a premium arbitrage between COMEX and
March 4, 2025