After a benign June inflation report, markets are wagering the Federal Reserve will lay the groundwork for a September rate cut at its policy meeting on Wednesday. Futures are fully priced for a quarter-point easing and even imply a 12% chance of 50 basis points, and have 68 basis points of easing priced in by Christmas.
Deficient monsoon risk rises, but macro impact on GDP expected to stay muted
India’s agricultural output and inflation face heightened concerns as the India Meteorological Department forecasts a stronger probability of deficient rainfall. However, the impact on agriculture
June 4, 2026