Recession fears set to split stocks and bonds after summer rally

A near 12% advance in July and August has put US stocks on course for one of their best summers on record. And companies’ bonds have gained 4.6% in the US and 3.4% globally since bottoming out in mid-June. Having moved in tandem, the two are now set to diverge, with bonds looking better placed to extend the rally as the dash to safety in an economic downturn will offset a rise in risk premiums.

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