Our base case remains that safe-haven demand should fade further, assuming that the US economy does not slip into recession. The bull case remains a recession as it should lead to a significant pick-up in safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, silver should continue to move in gold’s slipstream.
Can Israel-Iran war help silver hit a new record high past $121 and gold over $5,595?
Renewed Middle East tensions following the Israel-Iran conflict have revived safe-haven demand for gold and silver. After a sharp correction earlier this year, both metals